2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

[hammerhedd11]

Absolutely it can. Look at what Return of the King did 10 years ago. What The Hobbit barely did last year and how many movies now cross a billion. And their big blockbuster couldn't do it. I'd be really disappointed in it.

Sure, compared to one of the biggest movies of all time, it's quite the disappointment. If your biggest piece of evidence regarding a disappointment is the fact that it just barely reached a level that only 17 films in the history of movies have, then you have ridiculously unrealistic standards for a movie like this. Sure, WB wants a billion, as they would like a billion for every single movie they release. Doesn't mean in a million years that they are disappointed in 850 mil worldwide for a film series that, beyond getting ridiculously negative press for its very existence, is coming on a full decade after a lightning in a bottle phenomenon that barely anyone has been able to replicate in the genre.

 

[Raiden]

And lets not forget that the original LotR-trilogy didn't have any boost from 3D and IMAX, plus the market in countries like China was much smaller back then. RotK made only around $10 million in China while the first Hobbit made close to $50 million. And thanks to China the second Hobbit should make it past $900 million at least once it's released there. Stiil kind of underwhelming numbers. Personally I feel that while the LotR-trilogy was a movie event, the Hobbit-movies are more like milking money with nothing really new to offer.

That's because they stretched one book into three movies, so Peter Jackson crammed many unrelated stories into the trilogy to make it work, just so WB can make more money out of this franchise.

 

[Quasimod0]

I think the first movie may have turned a lot of people off. I liked the second one a lot better. Since it didn't have to deal with all the setup

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
3. Frozen $957,9 million
4. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $862,5 million
5. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $860,4 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $700,8 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $639,3 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
18. The Hangover Part III $362 million
19. Now You See Me $351,7 million
20. The Great Gatsby $351 million
21. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
22. The Conjuring $318 million
23. The Wolf of Wall Street $308 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[Spider-Vader]

Man, who'd have thought that we'd see a day where an Iron Man movie is easily the highest grossing movie of the year & that a Thor movie does almost as good as a Superman.

...What a time to be alive.

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $980,6 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $893,8 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $863,1 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $703,7 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $639,6 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
18. The Hangover Part III $362 million
19. Now You See Me $351,7 million
20. The Great Gatsby $351 million
21. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
22. The Wolf of Wall Street $338,4 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Frozen did better than The Hobbit. Holy ****.

 

[Quasimod0]

And finally passed Despicable me 2.

 

[metaphysician]

And has more gas in the can, from the looks of it, too. Looks like it will break a billion.

 

[hammerhedd11]

And 400 mil domestic. Wow.

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1000,6 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $922,3 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $863,8 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $707,5 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $641,3 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
18. The Wolf of Wall Street $374,6 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1009,7 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $937,4 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $712,1 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $641,4 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
18. The Wolf of Wall Street $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1026,8 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $944,2 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,3 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $714 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $641,5 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $376,3 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1049,8 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $944,5 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,4 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $714,4 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $644,6 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $387,3 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[Iceman]

Bloody hell. I thought I was subscribed to this thread. No wonder I've not seen it pop up in so long.

Frozen got the $1B! These films aimed at the younger audience are going to keep getting stronger as the overseas audience grows. Not every foreign territory likes every kind of blockbuster but they pretty much all have kids (& their parents) and regular guys who will like these films.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

With about $1.072 billion, Frozen has OFFICIALLY become the biggest animated film of all time.

 

[Thundarr]

http://grantland.com/hollywood-pros...-alive-well-and-ready-for-us-to-fantasy-cast/

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1072,4 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $949,9 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,5 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $715,6 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $644,6 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $389,6 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1097,4 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $950,4 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,6 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $715,9 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $644,8 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $389,6 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1112,6 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $952,9 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,6 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $716,2 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $644,8 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $389,6 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1129,2 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $953,1 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,6 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $716,3 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $644,8 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $389,6 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1143,8 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $953,1 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,6 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $716,4 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $644,8 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $389,6 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1169,2 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $953,1 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,6 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $716,4 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $644,8 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $389,6 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Frozen $1190,7 million
3. Despicable Me 2 $970,8 million
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $953,1 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $864,6 million
6. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
7. Monsters University $743,6 million
8. Gravity $716,4 million
9. Man of Steel $668 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $644,8 million
11. The Croods $587,2 million
12. World War Z $540 million
13. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
14. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
15. The Wolverine $414,8 million
16. Pacific Rim $411 million
17. The Wolf of Wall Street $389,6 million
18. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $362 million
20. Now You See Me $351,7 million
21. The Great Gatsby $351 million
22. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
23. The Conjuring $318 million
24. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
25. Oblivion $286,2 million

 

[metaphysician]

Geez, Frozen did another 20M this last week? Its just this side of possible that it will creep along and outdo IM3. . .