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Why recast Steve Rogers (NOBODY likes recasting) rather than just go the path of the comics and have Bucky take over the mantle?
Because of the idea that the "real" Cap is now dead? It's not like they're saying "No Evans, no franchise." They would maintain better continuity if they just have Stan take over as Bucky Cap, not to mention it's a risk and that makes it inherently more interesting by default.
If they don't use Bucky Cap, that's fine too. But I'd rather not see recasting unless we're talking reboot. As much as I like Don Cheadle (one of the only great things about Iron Man 2 and 3), I was annoyed to see them recast Terrence Howard as Rhodes. Ruffalo taking the place of Norton would've bothered me but I think I was too busy geeking out over the fact Avengers was even being made.
At this point I think it would be beyond goofy to have new people in place of Cap and Iron Man (if not even more members of the team) while some remain the same actors, without a story-based reason. It just seems jarring and ruins the cohesiveness of the MCU.
What's wrong with recasting? The MCU has already seen several recasted characters. Most important amongst them was Banner, and we actually got a BETTER Banner out of it. I'd say Cheadle was an improvement, too. Superheroes are not characters that once portrayed, no one can do it again. Superheroes are more James Bond: the appeal is the costume/hero. Not the actor. I don't see eye to eye with this mentality that once Actor A is done, we should never let someone else continue it. When you're growing a world like the MCU, asking for the same actors to play them forever is unreasonable. People are going to leave, and the best answer isn't to kill everyone that leaves.
Bucky taking over the mantle at this stage holds no emotional weight. It is too early. You need to build to that, not rush it. Killing Cap next film, when his reign in the modern era as Captain America has amounted to like 2 years, is too soon. When Cap dies, the world should mourn. I think that should take longer than 2ish years to build too. Can they do that storyline eventually? Sure, but I'd honestly rather just see a new Steve Rogers at this point in time. I think most non-comic fans would as well. When the main character of your series and the mantle is passed to a new character, it should be because that character's time has come and his story has been told. Not because you want to do a storyline on film that sold a bunch of comics and shock value. The only reason people want this to happen is due to popularity/shock value. This ignores the state of the franchise and the continuing potential of the Steve Rogers character. Poor decision making when you're navigating a franchise.
Besides, the Bucky Cap tenure was very short lived. There is a reason for that. The people want Steve Rogers. Not Bucky Barnes. We should let the relationships between them build more before we do anything drastic like this. We have plenty of stories to tell with Rogers before he dies.