Deadpool 2 $ £ ¢ € ¥ | The Box Office Thread | ¥ € ¢ £ $

[psylockolussus]

Do you think it will outgross the first film in America and worldwide next year? What about a China release? Discuss.

Well I think this would open over $100 million in America next year, though I am not sure if it would have legs as strong as 1st one.

 

[Darepool]

It will cross a billion with or without China. Peeps love DP. Simple as that.

 

[Sithborg]

I think it would be prudent to expect a performance comparable to GOTG. Vol 2 had a nice increase in revenue, but not massive. If anything, I expect the final domestic take to take a bit of a hit.

 

[psylockolussus]

So this opens two weeks after Infinity War and one week before Solo... That's quite a competition.

 

[Kuwolski]

170 m opening weekend.
430 m domestic.
1 billion ww.

Beast.

 

[The Endless]

I think around the same as the first. 750-800 million.

 

[Iceman]

What was the reason for no China release last time? Was it the content of the film?

 

[Mandon Knight]

I think around the same as the first. 750-800 million.

I think it'll surpass the first. By how much, not sure, but definitely, more.

 

[Kuwolski]

 

[The Endless]

I think it'll surpass the first. By how much, not sure, but definitely, more.

If it's good then I hope it does. But I think the first reached its peak. Everyone who wanted to see it, did. Not sure if there is huge potential for growth.

 

[def28]

If it gets released in China it will.

Otherwise 750-900m, so maybe maybe not.

 

[psylockolussus]

What was the reason for no China release last time? Was it the content of the film?

It was too r rated.

 

[Iceman]

It was too r rated.

Is this one expected to be any less on that front?

 

[Kuwolski]

Even without China and the weird decision to release it so close to IW, I think 900 m is in the bag.

 

[psylockolussus]

I don't think $900 million is a sure thing. Gotg 2, Thor 3, Wonder Woman and Homecoming didn't even get there. Avengers 2 and Solo would also hurt the film at the box office.

 

[Iceman]

Even without China and the weird decision to release it so close to IW, I think 900 m is in the bag.

Just looking for confirmation but is DP2 also definitely not releasing in China?

 

[psylockolussus]

I don't know but it doesn't look like they are holding back especially with the r-ratedness of the film. Unless they make a China cut that really water downs the r ratedness of the film. Sure. But I doubt it.

 

[Spider-Aziz]

I don't think it will outgross the first movie.

 

[Kuwolski]

Just looking for confirmation but is DP2 also definitely not releasing in China?

No confirmation but I would assume it'll be banned like the first. Unless there was something specifically in the first film that was offensive to the Chinese censors.

 

[Kuwolski]

I don't think $900 million is a sure thing. Gotg 2, Thor 3, Wonder Woman and Homecoming didn't even get there. Avengers 2 and Solo would also hurt the film at the box office.

Different situations then Deadpool.

Vol. 2 is the closest comparison which definitely gives me pause, but I think DP will outperform it still.

 

[Iceman]

I don't know but it doesn't look like they are holding back especially with the r-ratedness of the film. Unless they make a China cut that really water downs the r ratedness of the film. Sure. But I doubt it.

No confirmation but I would assume it'll be banned like the first. Unless there was something specifically in the first film that was offensive to the Chinese censors.

Ok thanks. Shame as it's a big market but you can't really do Deadpool any other way after how well he did first time out.

 

[psylockolussus]

I don't think it will outgross the first movie.

Domestically it won't. The first film had no competition for its first three weeks. This one will be competing with Solo and I thought Solo would have moved to December but nope.

 

[Fallen]

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-deadpool-2-book-club-show-dogs/

EDIT:

Can a mod make this a sticky thread?

 

[ironman_rick]

I really like the 3rd trailer..... so i can see this movie outgrossing JW2 (domestically)..

 

[Blitzkrieg]

I really like the 3rd trailer..... so i can see this movie outgrossing JW2 (domestically)..

Even if JW:FK has a drop similar to that of JP to TLW, it still manages 418 million. DP2 will hafta increase close to 15% out-gross JW:FK in that scenario. I doubt DP2 will increase from the 1st one since a sequel increasing from a very well received and breakout hit is too few and far between. But Vol 2 increased 16% from GOTG1 so there's precedent for sequels to unexpected breakouts increasing from the 1st. But Vol 2 had a much larger 4 quadrant appeal than DP2, making the former's increase from the first look reasonable in hindsight. DP2 will do well but I think JW:FK wins the fight for the bigger domestic total.