Discussion: General Election 2024

[MessiahDecoy123]

Discuss the general election here.

 

[blueharvest]

'A really strange person': Democrats investigate RFK’s running mate | Semafor

Kennedy could pose a threat to the president's reelection.

www.semafor.com

 

[blueharvest]

Biden campaign seeks to mobilize LGBTQ voters with new initiative

President Biden’s reelection campaign on Wednesday launched Out for Biden-Harris, a new national initiative aimed to mobilize LGBTQ voters. The launch includes a series of virtual organizing and tr…

thehill.com

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

Joe Biden Turns Trump's Biggest Conspiracy Theory Against Him In Scathing New Video

The president put Trump on blast for trying to steal an election and then rewrite history about it.

www.huffpost.com

 

[blueharvest]

Joe Biden Turns Trump's Biggest Conspiracy Theory Against Him In Scathing New Video

The president put Trump on blast for trying to steal an election and then rewrite history about it.

www.huffpost.com

Hopefully we'll see more ads like this from Biden in the coming months.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

U.S. Presidential Election Statistics​

Why incumbency matters (1924-2020)​

✅ presidents who won reelection (71%) Democrats: 88% (7/8 elections) Republicans: 56% (5/9 elections)	❌ presidents who lost reelection (29%) Democrats: 12% (1/8 elections) Republicans: 44% (4/9 elections)
1924 Coolidge (R)* 1936 | 1940 | 1944 F. Roosevelt (D) 1948 Truman (D)* 1956 Eisenhower (R) 1964 Johnson (D)* 1972 Nixon (R) 1984 Reagan (R) 1996 W. J. Clinton (D) 2004 G. W. Bush (R) 2012 Obama (D)	1932 Hoover (R) 1976 Ford (R)* 1980 Carter (D) 1992 G. H. W. Bush (R) 2020 Trump (R)

* vice president who became president after president's death or resignation

presidents who won open presidency (no incumbent or incumbent term limited)

1928 Hoover (R)
1952 Eisenhower (R)
1960 Kennedy (D)
1968 Nixon (R)
1988 G. H. W. Bush (R)
2000 G. W. Bush (R)**
2008 Obama (D)
2016 Trump (R)**

** led the electoral college but did not lead the national popular vote

presidents who defeated incumbents

1932 F. Roosevelt (D) (reelected 3 times)
1976 Carter (D) (defeated for reelection)
1980 Reagan (R) (reelected)
1992 W. J. Clinton (D) (reelected)
2020 Biden (D) (TBD)

Election Results (1924-2020)​

(click to enlarge)

Presidential and House Election Results Comparison (2004-2022)​

Popular Vote % (2004-2022)​
Year & President​	House Ds​	D Presidential Ticket​		House Rs​	R Presidential Ticket​
2004 Bush​	46.6%​	48.3%​		49.2%​	50.7%​
2006 Bush​	52.0%​	​		44.1%​	​
2008 Bush​	52.9%​	52.9%​	​	42.4%​	45.6%​
2010 Obama​	44.8%​	​	​	51.4%​	​
2012¹ Obama​	48.4%​	51.0%​	​	47.1%​	47.1%​
2014 Obama​	44.9%​	​	​	50.7%​	​
2016² Obama​	47.3%​	48.0%​	​	48.3%​	45.9%​
2018 Trump​	52.9%​	​		44.3%​	​
2020 Trump​	50.3%​	51.3%​	​	47.2%​	46.8%​
2022 Biden​	47.3%​	​	​	50.0%​	​
average (midterm)	48.4%​			48.1%​
average (all)​	48.7%​	​	​	47.5%​	​
average (pres.)​	49.1%​	50.3%​	​	46.9%​	47.2%​

¹ Democrats led the aggregate popular vote for the House in 2012 but Republicans won a majority of seats
² The Clinton/Kaine Democratic ticket led the popular vote for the presidency/vice presidency in 2016 but the Trump/Pence Republican ticket won the electoral college
Sources: Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, Election Statistics: 1920 to Present | US House of Representatives: History, Art & Archives

National Exit Polls (1976-2020)​

How Groups Voted | Roper Center for Public Opinion Research

ropercenter.cornell.edu

See also: Congressional statistics

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

One way Trump is fighting history: Election losers usually lose the rematch, too

NBC News analysis: Fewer than a quarter of rematches for the Senate and governor since 1950 have gone the way of the candidates who lost the first races.

www.nbcnews.com

The less you vote, the more you back Trump

Joe Biden is polling better than Donald Trump among voters who turn out more often.

abcnews.go.com

Biden says U.S. economy is world's best. Trump calls it a 'cesspool.' Data is clear.

U.S. GDP significantly outpaced countries like Japan and Canada last year, the International Monetary Fund estimated in January.

www.cnbc.com

Heatmap - Economic Indicators By Country

Trading Economics provides data for 20 million economic indicators from 196 countries including actual values, consensus figures, forecasts, historical time series and news. Heatmap - Economic Indicators By Country - was last updated on Tuesday, April 16, 2024.

tradingeconomics.com

 

[squeekness]

You said it, Joe.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

Biden campaign responds to Allen; says president will be on ballot

Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen notified the Democratic Party on Tuesday that the DNC was happening after a deadline set in state law to get candidates on the ballot in Alabama.

www.al.com

 

[blueharvest]

Presidential race neck and neck in North Carolina survey

The race between President Biden and former President Trump in North Carolina is neck and neck, according to a new poll released Wednesday. The Quinnipiac University poll found Trump narrowly edged…

thehill.com

 

[blueharvest]

The biggest fights of the 2024 election are all converging in Arizona

The battles over control of Washington, abortion policy and more are all on the ballot in one of the country’s most tightly divided swing states.

www.nbcnews.com

 

[InCali]

The biggest fights of the 2024 election are all converging in Arizona

The battles over control of Washington, abortion policy and more are all on the ballot in one of the country’s most tightly divided swing states.

www.nbcnews.com

Yeah.....I've said this before. AZ is HUGE in the upcoming election. A senate seat is at stake AND IF Biden can take the state, he could conceivably lose GA and MI or PA.

 

[squeekness]

Yeah.....I've said this before. AZ is HUGE in the upcoming election. A senate seat is at stake AND IF Biden can take the state, he could conceivably lose GA and MI or PA.

I really hope this happens, if only as a sign that people have had enough of the GOP bs.

 

[blueharvest]

Trump's motivation for attack on RFK Jr. questioned

Trump insisted that RFK Jr. was only a "political opponent" to President Joe Biden and "great for MAGA."

www.newsweek.com

 

[InCali]

Trump's motivation for attack on RFK Jr. questioned

Trump insisted that RFK Jr. was only a "political opponent" to President Joe Biden and "great for MAGA."

www.newsweek.com

One of the few people who is on Truth Social should start plastering Kennedy's position all over it. In fact, in fact, all of the major social media platforms should get inundated with it.

 

[squeekness]

One of the few people who is on Truth Social should start plastering Kennedy's position all over it. In fact, in fact, all of the major social media platforms should get inundated with it.

How many active users does Truth Social actually have? Lol.

 

[InCali]

How many active users does Truth Social actually have? Lol.

A little over 500,000. X has about 75M and FB has around 150M....I think.

 

[blueharvest]

Election spoiler? How President Biden's allies hope to stop Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Haunted by spoilers in past elections, President Joe Biden's Democratic allies have mobilized efforts to stop Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

www.usatoday.com

 

[blueharvest]

How Trump’s ‘woman problem’ has become an election nightmare

The former president – and his appointments to the Supreme Court – ended American women’s constitutional right to get an abortion. Trump used to crow about it, but he now knows it could cost his party dear at the election, writes Jon Sopel

www.independent.co.uk

 

[squeekness]

How Trump’s ‘woman problem’ has become an election nightmare

The former president – and his appointments to the Supreme Court – ended American women’s constitutional right to get an abortion. Trump used to crow about it, but he now knows it could cost his party dear at the election, writes Jon Sopel

www.independent.co.uk

It better cost him the election.

 

[blueharvest]

Joe Biden gets good news from America's most accurate pollster

The president continued to close the polling gap against Trump with months still to go before the general election.

www.newsweek.com

 

[blueharvest]

It better cost him the election.

Whatever it takes for Trump to lose.

 

[blueharvest]

Abortion Is Key Issue in Swing States

A recent Wall Street Journal poll of seven battleground states “found that 39% of suburban women cite abortion as a make-or-break issue for their vote — making it by far the most motivating issue for the group.”“Nearly three-quarters of them say the procedure should be legal all or most

politicalwire.com

 

[squeekness]

Joe Biden gets good news from America's most accurate pollster

The president continued to close the polling gap against Trump with months still to go before the general election.

www.newsweek.com

Hope these polls are actually right.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

Democratic lawmaker says women won't be 'conned' after Trump argues states should set abortion restrictions

Sen. Tina Smith of Minnesota said Sunday women will not be 'conned' by the former president's position on abortion.

www.usatoday.com