At this point, both major candidates are unpopular in public opinion polls, and more directly we can see that they're drawing comparatively small crowds and that very few bumper stickers and lawn signs are going up.
Neither candidate is proposing a better agenda. Gone is the Trump of 2016 that campaigned against war, and against cuts to social security and medicare. Gone is the Biden of 2020 that campaigned for public health measures and for build back better. Both Trump and Biden enthusiastically support the genocide in Gaza and the pointless war in Ukraine.
According to 538, Trump has an unfavourable rating of 54 to 41, and Biden has an unfavourable rating of 55 to 40.
Both candidates are showing signs of being too old for the job.
Plus between now and November we're likely to see a worsening geopolitical situation, more inflation, and possibly other issues too. The corporate media thinks that inflation comes down to CPI and the cost of gas at the pump, but I think what people are noticing are higher grocery bills, higher insurance premiums, and higher costs of borrowing.
In the long run this election may prove to be a disaster for alleged American democracy. Many people and much of the world can see the lack of genuine choice, and I expect that's going to be backed up by low turnout.