Thor: Box Office and Predictions

[MessiahDecoy123]

MCU Box Office - Thursday Previews / Opening Weekends

1. Avengers: EG ---------- 60M / OW = 357M
2. Spider-Man: NWH ----- 50M / OW = 260M
3. Avengers: IW ------------ 39M / OW = 257M
4. Doctor Strange: MOM - 36M / OW = 187M
5. Thor: Love and Thunder - 29M / OW = ???

6. Avengers: AOU ---------- 27M / OW = 191M
7. Black Panther ------------- 25M / OW = 202M
8. Captain America: CW --- 25M / OW = 179M
9. Captain Marvel ------------ 20M / OW = 153M

(Thor Ragnarok - 14.5M / OW = 122M)

The problem is Thor 4 was released at 3pm instead of 7pm. So that means it's preview number is inflated.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Plus, Jordan Peele's Nope will be out in a mere two weeks.

His previous films haven't done over $250M worldwide so I don't think Nope will do massive numbers.

 

[Iceman]

The problem is Thor 4 was released at 3pm instead of 7pm. So that means it's preview number is inflated.

Wish these things were more consistent as it makes comparing very difficult!

 

[NotNickFury]

His previous films haven't done over $250M worldwide so I don't think Nope will do massive numbers.

Maybe yes, maybe no, but Jordan Peele's films do still attract a lot of people. So we can't pretend that Nope won't attract viewers like the other already released movies will.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

 

[HammerDown]

Box Office: ‘Thor: Love And Thunder’ Sees $29 Million Thursday Night – Deadline

Disney/Marvel’s Thor: Love and Thunder looks to be arriving around $70M for Friday on its way to a $130M-$140M opening weekend.

 

[HammerDown]

MCU Box Office - Friday / Opening Weekends

1. Avengers: EG ---------- 157M / OW = 357M
2. Spider-Man: NWH ----- 121M / OW = 260M
3. Avengers: IW ------------ 106M / OW = 257M
4. Doctor Strange: MOM - 90M / OW = 187M
5. Avengers: AOU ---------- 84M / OW = 191M
6. Black Panther ------------- 75M / OW = 202M
7. Captain America: CW --- 75M / OW = 179M
8. Thor: Love and Thunder - “70M” / OW = ???
9. Iron Man 3 ——————- 68M / OW = 174M
10. Captain Marvel ------------ 61M / OW = 153M

(Thor Ragnarok - 46.4M / OW = 122M)

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Everything still looks like it's towards a $150M weekend but the Screen Engine/Comscore PostTrak numbers aren't as good with it only getting a 3.5/5 score and 63% definite recommend. For comparison, Ragnarok had a 5/5 score and 84% definite recommend, DS2 was at 4/5 and 77%, and Eternals was 3.5/5 and 57%.

 

[Iceman]

Everything still looks like it's towards a $150M weekend but the Screen Engine/Comscore PostTrak numbers aren't as good with it only getting a 3.5/5 score and 63% definite recommend. For comparison, Ragnarok had a 5/5 score and 84% definite recommend, DS2 was at 4/5 and 77%, and Eternals was 3.5/5 and 57%.

Oh, that doesn’t sound great.

 

[HammerDown]

BOP has it as 154M OW.

 

[Iceman]

BOP has it as 154M OW.

Sounds realistic, and would be a solid result.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

BOP has it as 154M OW.

Basically right in the middle of the predictions. Too bad Marvel didn't promote it a little better and the reviews aren't as strong as many expected.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Yeah I expected this to open somewhere between Jurassic World Dominion (145m) and Dr Strange 2 (187m).

Hopefully it can hit 400m DOM.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

‘Thor: Love And Thunder’ Hammering $135M-$145M Opening Weekend – Deadline

Thor: Love and Thunder is seeing $69.5M opening Friday on its way to a weekend that’s between $135M-$145M, 37% of that driven by premium large format screens.

 

[HammerDown]

So a 5M increase on Deadline’s projections. And it seems to me like they’re still somewhat lowballing their predictions.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

 

[HammerDown]

MCU Box Office - Saturday / Opening Weekends

1. Avengers: EG ---------- 109M / OW = 357M
2. Avengers: IW ------------ 82M / OW = 257M
3. Spider-Man: NWH ----- 73M / OW = 260M
4. Black Panther ------------ 65M / OW = 202M
5. Iron Man 3 ---------------- 62M / OW = 174M
6. Captain America: CW -- 61M / OW = 179M
7. Doctor Strange: MOM - 57M / OW = 187M
8. Avengers: AOU ---------- 56M / OW = 191M
9. Captain Marvel ------------ 52M / OW = 153M
10. GOTG2 -------------------- 51M / OW = 146M

Thor: Love and Thunder - ??? / OW = ???
(Thor Ragnarok ------------- 44M / OW = 122M)

 

[HammerDown]

Box Office Comparison:

Thursday Previews
Thor: Love and Thunder - 29M
Captain Marvel - 20M
Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 17M

Friday
Thor: Love and Thunder - 69M
Captain Marvel - 61M
Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 56M

Saturday
Thor: Love and Thunder - ?
Captain Marvel - 52M
Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 51M

Sunday
Thor: Love and Thunder - ?
Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 39M
Captain Marvel - 38M

OW
Thor: Love and Thunder - ?
Captain Marvel - 153M
Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 146M

 

[Iceman]

‘Thor: Love And Thunder’ Hammering $135M-$145M Opening Weekend – Deadline

Good Friday number! Will see how it holds throughout the weekend now.

 

[Iceman]

Yeah I expected this to open somewhere between Jurassic World Dominion (145m) and Dr Strange 2 (187m).

Hopefully it can hit 400m DOM.

Yeah I'd love to see this make it to $400m dom too after MoM, although it will have to work a lot harder if it opens much lower.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Yeah I'd love to see this make it to $400m dom too after MoM, although it will have to work a lot harder if it opens much lower.

Yeah realistically it's probably looking like the 350m range.

 

[AvengerPA]

Now I'm thinking $350 million domestic, $550 million international, $900 million global finish.

 

[Stark Bauer]

I’m going to wait for the final OW numbers before predicting

 

[InCali]

I’m going to wait for the final OW numbers before predicting

I think will actually have to wait to see the second weekend numbers before we can really start figuring out where it might end up. Typically that drop tells us a lot.

 

[HammerDown]

‘Thor: Love And Thunder’ Now Seeing $140M-$143M Opening Weekend – Saturday PM Box Office Update

UPDATED, Saturday PM: Disney/Marvel’s Thor: Love and Thunder held steady on Saturday despite those lower than normal CinemaScore and PostTrak exits we were seeing for a Marvel Cinematic Universe title. The Taika Waititi directed sequel grossed $41M today, we hear, which is 1% above Friday’s true take of $40.5M (That’s $69.5M less $29M in Thursday previews). This will get Thor: Love and Thunder to an estimated $140M-$143M opening per industry projections tonight.