Both demographically, and culturally, conservatism is in decline. And those trends—driven in large part by seismic demographic change—aren’t abating anytime soon. That’s why Republicans aren’t bothering trying to win over Black, Brown, women, or young voters. Theirs is a culture under deep assault, withering away like one of those Depression-era Dust Bowl photos. Rural towns are hollowing out, their youth departed to more exciting and fruitful locales while the old-timers pass on to the great beyond. So those still hanging around double down on what’s left: their guns, their Bibles, their hatred of the people driving those changes. And in the halls of power, they try to codify their power by shredding the very democratic ideals embodied in those American flags they so hypocritically fly.
But it’s all a delaying action. Whites are no longer a majority of Georgia’s population. Arizona is going to be increasingly harder for Republicans to contest. It should look like Virginia in a decade. Texas is on its way. South Carolina and Mississippi are further back but on the right track. America is changing, and we’re going to see in greater detail exactly how in the coming weeks as smart people pore over the fresh new Census numbers. But we can already see that the long-term trends are in our favor, and as a result, we must brace for increasingly desperate attacks on our democracy from a white-dominant party that refuses to surrender control.